NFL Thursday Night Football Bills at Texans DraftKings Breakdown

Thursday Night Football! Time to dig in and start Week 12!

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans

• The Bills are 5.5-point favorites

• The over/under is coming in at 43.5 points.

Bills Breakdown

The Bills are coming off a high-flying win against the Buccaneers. Josh Allen is coming off a monster game, but this matchup is much more difficult against the Houston Texans, especially on the road. He is an amazing captain to play on DraftKings, though, due to the upside he brings to the table. Onto the running backs, James Cook has been up and down this season, but we aren't getting a discount on his DraftKings price tag either. I would much rather go to Josh Allen than James Cook. Ty Johnson and Ray Davis are both fades to me due to their price tag. At the wide receiver position is where things get rather interesting. Keon Coleman was benched last game but was still seen dancing on the sidelines. I am unclear on whether he will play this game, and even if he is in, I am not looking to play him. Khalil Shakir had the chance to step up and play a ton of snaps, but he only saw one reception. He is another tough click due to his DraftKings price tag. You will get ownership leverage on him. Tyrell Shavers played the same number of snaps, and the ownership will be on him due to the last game. I am liking him despite the ownership. Gabe Davis saw the third most snaps, and the price tag is okay on him. With the news on, Curtis Samuel and Mecole Hardman being out, this will bump up my exposure to Gabe Davis. At the tight end spot, Dalton Kincaid is out for this game. Dawson Knox saw the boost in snaps and saw three targets, which makes him in play. Jackson Hawes is coming off a dud, but the price tag on DraftKings is too high on him.

 Texans Breakdown

The Texans are coming off two wins in a row. The big news is that Davis Mills will be starting due to CJ Stroud being out. Davis Mills has been sustainable, and the price tag on DraftKings makes him intriguing. At the running back spot, Woody Marks is coming in at a massive price tag, and is it warranted? The snaps are there, but production certainly hasn't. This stand will either turn to gold or turn into nothing! This makes him hard to trust despite a run-funnel defense for the Bills. Nick Chubb is coming at a big discount, and I would much rather take a shot on him rather than Woody Marks. At the wide receiver position, Nico Collins is a top target for me and a top target for Davis Mills. He is coming off two massive games, and I do like him at the captain spot. Jayden Higgins has seen a good number of targets, and I do like his upside at a cheap price tag. Christian Kirk is cheap, but I would rather go for the big-play ability of Xavier Hutchinson playing the same number of snaps. Jaylin Noel is certainly a dart-throw value at his DraftKings price tag. The key to this slate will be getting the right wide receiver on the team right. At the tight end spot, Dalton Schultz has looked great for Davis Mills, and I do like him even with his slightly high price tag. Cade Stover is seeing a decent number of snaps and could be a value to look at.

Thank you for reading, and the video breakdown is below!